Gave you guys another Golf winner last week at the Memorial with Jon Rahm to win at +2200. That is two big winners so far since the golf restart…let’s go! Let’s see if we can keep this thing going, because, why not? This week we shift our focus and picks to the 3M Open in Minnesota which is going to be played at TPC Twin Cities. The track comes in at 7,431 yards for a par 71.
Last week Rahm dominated and looked like the best player on the course from the jump. This week, there are plenty of stars taking off this week, but the field is still loaded.
PGA 3M Open Picks & Parlays
Here are my three favorite picks for this 3M Open event:
Matthew Wolff to Win +3300
Love these online betting odds for the defending champion. He’s also coming off a solid T22 on a brutal setup at Muirfield and is only three weeks removed from a runner-up showing in Detroit.
Last year at the 3M, he gained a ridiculous 13.3 strokes tee-to-green. He’s trending well and already won at this course. Two things I always look for when betting on someone to win it all. I don’t think anyone in the top tier wins this week, so I love the odds-on Wolff here.
Paul Casey to Win +1800
Casey played well last week outside of one hole. Making that 8 on the par-3 12th killed him, but that is why we are getting some value on him. If you dig deeper into his play last week, you’ll see that per the RickRunGood.com database, he was eighth in the field in strokes gained/off-the-tee through the two rounds that he actually played in. This week, the 3M Open at TPC Twin Cities fits perfectly into his ball-striking game plan so he is in our picks.
Here is another fun reason why I’m putting some money down on him: Casey ranks in the top three in strokes gained/off-the-tee and strokes gained/approach over the past 50 PGA Tour rounds, via FantasyNational.com.
Doc Redman Top-40 Finish (+100)
Redman missed the cut for the first time since the restart last week, but if you take a deeper dive into the data, you will see that he actually hit 72.2% of his greens, which was one of the best in the field. The greens were impossible last week, and he was terrible on the putting side of things, which led to his demise. But, before last week, he’d been solid, as he had three top-25 finishes in his past four starts.
It feels like he’s primed for a big week. His elite ball-striking game fits this course well. The top-40 is a safe bet, but I don’t see him not hanging around in this one come Sunday. I’m also going to put down some money on him to finish in the top 10 at +550. And, if you are feeling frisky, you can get him to win it all at +5000. Worth a sprinkle there as well, because I can’t resist.
So, those are our picks for the 3M Open this week in the PGA, good luck everyone, see you soon.