The favorites continue to roll in the FexEx Cup playoffs. Jon Rahm came out on top last weekend with a thrilling playoff victory over Dustin Johnson. The shots both of those guys hit were amazing, to say the least. Those two stars will headline a 30-player field at East Lake Golf Club for the Tour Championship as the 2019-2020 season is coming to an end, so let’s have a look at our picks for the event.
PGA Tour Championship 2020 Picks
East Lake is a par 70 that measures 7,346 yards and will be similar to last weekend where the big names will definitely get tested.
A huge FYI if you bet online on this event: Most books will probably have two separate markets up. One should be for the winner of the TOUR Championship and the other should be for the best scores without the handicap included. Make sure to check the market you’re betting because the odds will be really different depending upon your wagers.
Here is a simple example of both scenarios: DJ is the favorite, opening at +175 to win the TOUR Championship and +500 to have the low score of the week. Because of his success, he begins the event at 10-under par in the handicap system. That puts him two shots ahead of Rahm, who is next in line at +275 and +550 in those two respective betting markets. So, again, make sure you check all the odds first to make sure you are getting your money down on the correct bets.
Ok, now that is all out of the way, who am I throwing some money down on? I’m basically all-in on two guys. Here are my four favorite picks for the Tour Championship.
Daniel Berger Low 72-hole score +1800 and +3000 to win
Berger is far enough up the leaderboard to where he is going to go all-in at this event. This course is a great fit for his iron game and he’s better on Bermudagrass than a lot of other guys out there. He’s been one of the best players on the Tour since the restart, and it is hard to find anyone that has been more consistent week in and week out. He cooled off just slightly last week with a T25, but before that, if you throw out the missed cut at the Memorial, he’s finished no worse than T13 in his five other starts since the restart, including a win and three top-3 finishes.
Every week it seems like he is in the hunt, so look for that to continue this weekend.
Webb Simpson Low 72-hole score and +1000 to win
Simpson has had a full week of rest and still starts just four strokes back of Dustin Johnson. Good strategy in my book, as it was smart to skip a taxing venue like Olympia Fields that beat up a lot of the world’s best.
Simpson has played well on this course in year’s past, as he owns three top-five results in seven career starts at East Lake. He also dominates Bermuda courses. In 2020, Simpson has played five Bermuda courses and has finished win, win, third, third and 12th.
Simpson, like Berger, has been very consistent since the restart. I see some value here, so will take the plunge.
Good luck! I hope my picks for the PGA Tour Championship are useful.