So close, yet so far. That is how I felt watching last week’s event as I had all 4 of my picks finish in the T10. No one remembers anyone but the Champion, so it is what it is. My goal is always to pick winners, but more than anything, it is to be consistent. If I can have my guys there every single Sunday, I’ll take it. Gambling is a marathon and not a sprint, or so they say. This week we shift our picks to the first event of the FedEx Cup playoffs with the event taking place at TPC Boston with the Northern Trust. The TPC Boston course is a par 71 measuring at 7,342 yards on the scorecard.
PGA Fedex Cup Playoffs Northern Trust Picks
Ok, so now we got the formalities out of the way, let’s get to business. Here are my favorite picks and parlays to win it all at the Northern Trust:
Jason Day, +2300
If you read this column weekly, you know I look for a couple of markers when picking golf winners. Great past results at the course and an upward trending or consistent player. Of course, I do other research and use models, etc, etc, but that overall formula has led to 3 outright winners and a lot of close calls since the restart. So, why stop now?
One guy that fits the bill this week when it comes to those markers is Day. In his past four outings, he’s finished 4th-6th-4th-7th. And, while he’s never won at TPC Boston, he’s finished second, third and has a total of eight top-25s in 11 starts. He has also finished 5th (2010), 2nd (2014), 1st (2015), 4th (2016), and 6th (2017) in the first leg of the FedEx Cup Playoffs.
The former No. 1 player in the world is ready to remind people that he is still one of the best players in the game. He is still a world-class putter, this is a great pick for the Northern Trust and perfect odds for a player of his caliber.
Justin Thomas, +1300
Kind of a chalky pick (which I hate doing), but if a big name wins this weekend, it is going to be him. JT heads back to TPC Boston where he won in 2017. Here is a fun fact, and why I went with some chalk: Thomas leads all golfers over the past four years in average strokes gained per round at TPB Boston.
One of the best tee-to-green players on the tour, which will go a long way in this event. Unless he has a disastrous putting weekend, he’ll be right there at the end.
Sungjae Im, +5000
Our last pick for the Northern Trust is Sungjae Im because although he has let me down several times, this is a good spot for him. He is the most mis-priced golfer in the field this week and now is the time to take advantage. He flashed pure skill last week at the Wyndham Championship en route to a top-10 finish. He had a ton of chances and came up just short. His statistical profile at Wyndham was similar to how he was playing before the shutdown, which included a win at the Honda Classic and a third-place finish at the Arnold Palmer. If he can bring last week’s form to this event, he will be in the running come Sunday.
Joel Dahmen, +17500
Here is a guy worth sprinkling some money on as he finished 10th at the PGA Championship and 20th at the WGC-FedEx St. Jude Invitational. He has eight top-20 finishes in 12 events in 2020. That is the kind of consistency that eventually breaks through.
So there’s the Sports Intel picks for this weeks golf at the Northern Trust, at TPC Boston. I feel like I’m in good form at the moment so hopefully we get a winner.