Gambling is always such a gut check. I have been running hot in Golf since the restart, and then boom, last weekend happened. I wasn’t even close, but it happens. My goal is always to pick winners, but more than anything, it is to be consistent. If I can make money over the long run and help my readers out to do the same, mission accomplished. Gambling is a marathon and not a sprint. It sounds good when you say it, but still hard to swallow when you get smoked. Anyways, onto this week’s event, as we now turn our attention to Olympia Fields (near Chicago) for the BMW Championship and our picks and parlays. The course measures at a little over 7,300 yards for a par 70, and the field slashed is down to 70 players this week.
PGA BMW Championship 2020 Picks
So, who do I like to win it all? Here are my three favorite picks:
Kevin Kisner +5000
When putting together my card, I usually look for good course history and consistency/ upward trending coming into an event. Olympia Fields has not hosted a PGA TOUR event since the 2003 U.S. Open, so we might not find a lot of guys with experience here. So let’s talk about consistency.
Back to back Top 5s in his past two PGA Tour starts and a Top 20 at the PGA Championship. Three top 4 finishes since July, and he’s 40-under over his past 10 rounds. He’s also one of the best putters on Tour, which will help on this course. I’ll be really surprised if he doesn’t finish in the top five in the BMW Championship, so he’s our top pick for the week.
Bryson DeChambeau +1500
Hate going chalk, but hear me out. He is coming off an ugly cut, which is why we are getting value on him in this spot. His muscles will pay off on this long course. This is one guy that has some history here, as he won the 2015 U.S. Amateur at this course convincingly. He’s also the field leader in birdies or better gained over the past 50 rounds, via FantasyNational.com.
He had a terrible putting outing last weekend, which to me is an outlier, as putting is his strong suit. Look for some positive regression in that regard this weekend, which should have him in contention come Sunday.
Daniel Berger +2000
Berger is on an absolute heater right now, and he’s been one of the best players since the restart. It’s hard to find anyone more consistent right now. If you throw out the missed cut at the Memorial, he’s finished no worse than T13 since the restart (five starts), including a win and three top-3 finishes. He’s gaining 2.38 strokes per round in that span, nearly a half a stroke more than Bryson DeChambeau (2nd).
Form carries into the playoffs. His hot streak is priced in, but he is too good to pass up here for a bet online.
Cameron Champ +8000
Champ is another guy with some experience at this course, as he won the Illini Invitational in 2016 at Olympia Fields. He is also 14th in the field in birdie or better rate gained over the past 50 rounds, per FantasyNational.com.
Longshots with this kind of stacked field is tough, but I like his odds in this spot. That’s it for our picks for the 2020 BMW Championship. Good luck, should be a great tournament.