After almost a three-month hiatus, the PGA TOUR is set to make its triumphant return this week for the Charles Schwab Challenge at Colonial, which gives us a chance to look at our picks and parlays for the event.
This is a 7,200-yard course with bentgrass greens, tree-lined fairways and more than 50 bunkers. And, let’s not forget the 247-yard Par 3.
Charles Schwab Challenge Picks & Parlays
It will have been 91 days since the opening round of The Players Championship was held, which was followed by an immediate suspension of the schedule due to COVID-19. Finding a winner in golf is already hard enough under normal circumstances, but after a layoff like this, it does basically become a total crapshoot.
What we can do though is research and use data to our benefit. I look for guys that are consistent and precise with their short game, especially considering that this course favors surgeons over big bombers from the tee box.
With such a deep field, as well as plenty of unknowns following a long layoff, there will be plenty of options when it comes to betting. I sprinkled my money across one longshot and a couple of big names. Here are my three favorites Charles Schwab picks to win outright:
Abraham Ancer +8000
I love Ancer at these odds, as he fits the tab on guys who have excellent short games. He was consistently good with his irons late in 2019 and 2020, and finished with multiple top-10 finishes, including at a WGC event.
I also like that he is a Texas native, so he should be comfortable playing at this course.
Webb Simpson +2200
Simpson fits what I was looking for perfectly when it comes to consistency and solid short game. He comes into the Charles Schwab at seventh in both greens in regulation and strokes gained on approach to green, so looks a solid pick. I also try to look for guys in the top-10 in strokes gained putting, but he is right there, at 13th.
He has also done well at this course. While he missed the cut here the last time he played the event, prior to that, he posted a T-3 and a fifth-place finish. At this price, he is worth the gamble.
Brooks Koepka +2500
Koepka was not playing well in 2020, but we can write that off to his knee injury. If there is one guy this extended break couple possibly helps, that is Koepka. And, we all know he balls out in majors, and even though this is not one, I think it will have the feel of one in terms of significance once these players tee it up. Koepka is an athlete first and foremost, and after this long wait, I think his killer instincts will kick in.
For a guy that had a couple of 63s here two years ago which led to a runner-up finish, we are getting some great value. If he is 100% healthy, he will be there come Sunday.
That’s it for our picks for the Charles Schwab at Colonial this week. As always, make sure you shop around for the best values. BetMGM, DraftKings and WestGate were used for the odds above.