Monday Night Football brings us an important game in the wide-open NFC with the Rams and Bucs each gunning for a first-round bye. A pair of electrifying offenses will be on display in this week 11 finale and we’re here to share some player props that caught our eye.
Jared Goff UNDER 279.5 Passing Yards (-105)
While Goff has enjoyed four games this season that eclipsed 300 yards passing, things have been a bit less than ideal the last few weeks. Goff has failed to go over 220 yards in three of his previous six games and the Buccaneers know how to guard against the pass.
Tampa Bay allowed just 148 yards through the air last week against the Panthers and have given up 300 yards just once all season. The Bucs secondary allows just 5.8 yards per pass attempt which ranks them fifth in the NFL.
So far this year, Goff’s average passing yard prop has been set at 274.5 and he’s failed to hit that mark in five of nine games.
I think tonight makes it six games Goff falls short of his passing yards total.
Mike Evans UNDER 55.5 Receiving Yards (-112)
Another fade I will be on board with on Monday Night is that of Mike Evans. Heading into 2020 I would have bet that it would be Evans who benefits the most by having Tom Brady under center. Alas, TB12 instead formed a quick bond with Chris Godwin and have left Evans to pick up the proverbial scraps.
With a versatile offense that includes the aforementioned Godwin along with Gronkowski, Fournette, and the newly acquired Antonio Brown, it should come as little surprise that Brady has shared the ball.
Evans has only seen double-digit targets twice this season and they were in games in which Godwin was sidelined. They were also before Brown joined the receiving core.
To add insult to injury, Evans will likely draw the attention of the Rams’ stud CB Jalen Ramsey. Players who Ramses shadows are only thrown to 14% of the time and he allows just 6.5 yards per target. That ranks Ramsey fifth in the league and is just another reason to be suspicious of Evans on Monday night.
Rob Gronkowski OVER 3.5 receptions (+135)
As a regrettable owner of Rob Gronkowski in fantasy, I can say without question that he’s been frustrating to predict this season.
Gronk has a total of just three catches in his previous two games but had four or more in the three before that. He even saw six targets in the disastrous loss to the Saints.
But I think this is a great bounce-back spot for the veteran tight end.
See, while the Rams defense is spectacular, even the strongest armor has weak spots. For LA, that spot is tight ends to whom the Rams give up an average of 8.4 targets per game to. With Gronkowski’s spectacular catch rate, I think Brady and Co. will do their best to exploit L.A.’s issues defending over the middle.