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Tom Brady of the Buccaneers


An Easy Super Bowl Pick For Gamblers

An Easy Super Bowl Pick For Gamblers

Tampa Bay Buccaneers’ quarterback Tom Brady is being called a GOAT on a regular basis these days.  He could be considered an old goat, having been in the NFL for 20 years, but, in this case, it means “Greatest Of All Time.”  It is pretty rarified air for him since he has only played in ten Super Bowls, including this Sunday at Tampa Bay, and has only collected six Super Bowl rings (so far).  While it’s hard to make some gambling choices on the upcoming game, there’s one line that should be an easy pick.

Brady Slow Out The Gate

Brady has a number of records and stats to his credit that make for interesting analysis.  He also has a perfect, unbeatable record in first-quarter performance in the Super Bowl.  Of the nine Big Games in which he played for the New England Patriots, eight of them saw his team go scoreless in the first quarter.  The ninth, Super Bowl LII against the Philadelphia Eagles, saw the Pats only score a field goal in the first quarter.

BetMGM didn’t miss this stat and its line for the first quarter has an Over/Under of 10.5, with the Bucs getting +0.5.  Based on Brady’s history, and with only one of his Super Bowls going above ten points in the first quarter, taking action on this prop bet seems like a no-brainer.  Going up against the Kansas City Chiefs is going to make things tough this year, and it’s very likely the first-quarter score will be very low.


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Chiefs Better In The First Quarter

Overall for the season, the Bucs are ranked 13th in the league in terms of points during the first quarter, averaging just 5.5.  The Chiefs are a little better, sitting in a three-way tie in tenth place with 5.6.  While it’s unlikely Tampa Bay won’t be able to put points on the board in the first quarter, Kansas City is definitely strong enough to keep the Bucs defense away from the end zone.

But, it is just Brady, and he has been in that position so many times now that you can just bet that he knows his way out, many do. The man has four Super Bowl MVP awards to his credit; he just didn’t win them during the first quarter of the games.  “You put a lot into it. I don’t think I can ever go at this game half-assed, I’ve got to put everything into it, if I don’t feel like I can do that anymore and don’t feel like I can commit to the team in the way team needs me then I probably think that’s time to walk away,” the GOAT asserts.

Retirement In The Cards For Brady?

Brady is 43 years old and is going to play in his tenth Super Bowl.  Fortunately for the MVP quarterback and the Buccaneers, the game will be played on their home field at Raymond James Stadium down in Tampa.  He has previously stated that he is glad to be out of the cold, wet weather of New England; he’s got to be doubly glad this week as snowstorms cover the Northeastern US in a blanket of white.

Brady is constantly pelted with inquires as to how much longer he intends to keep playing and while he admits that the day may be approaching, he will know for sure when the time comes to hang up his cleats and stay at home with his high fashion model wife and kids.  But, while he steadfastly refuses to put a date on his retirement from the NFL, he has said that he would consider playing past the age of 45 should he “continue to maintain the performance levels that have put him in contention” to clinch a remarkable seventh Super Bowl ring.

On Monday, Brady told the media on hand, “When to walk away.  I think I’ll know when it’s time so I don’t know when that time will come but I think I’ll know.  And I’ll understand that I gave everything I could to get to this game.”


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Erik is a writer and a sports nut who has had the good fortune to be able to experience a wide variety of world sports action up close and personal. He enjoys staying on top of the changing world of athletics and capitalizing on his writing skills to offer a unique take on what's going on in the ever-changing athletics ecosystem.

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