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Week 13 NFL Props: Trust Ingram, Bell Overs

Week 13 NFL Props: Trust Ingram, Bell Overs

We’re giving you another thing to be thankful for this holiday weekend with a 2nd NFL props article for Sunday football action in week 13.

Week 13 NFL Props Bets

Mark Ingram OVER 58.5 rushing yards vs San Francisco 49ers

Make no mistake about it, the Ravens are by far the most rush happy team in the NFL this season.  In fact, with a 54.6% rush play rate, they outpace the competition by a significant margin.  This reliance on the ground game is heavily influenced by their star quarterback, Lamar Jackson.


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After a red-hot beginning to 2019 in which Ingram scampered for 82 yards per game in his first month of action, he has averaged ‘just’ 64.3 YPG since Week 5. Sure, he has had a few stinkers, including a 34-yard dud against the lowly Bengals.  But he has shown relative consistency throughout the season up until this point.

Now, I realize that Ingram is not a high-volume running back.  He has yet to surpass 20 carries in a game this year, hovering around the 15-carry mark for his games this season.  However, with a 5.2 yards per carry average, 15 touches will put him right on pace to hit this over bet against the 49ers.

The Niners are no easy matchup, but with the Ravens rushing prowess I believe that there will be enough touches to go around on Sunday afternoon.  Ingram is coming off a 100+ yard game against the Rams and I like his momentum to continue into this weekend’s NFL matchup against San Francisco at home which is why he makes it into our player props bets for week 13.

Le’Veon Bell OVER 33.5 receiving yards vs Cincinnati Bengals

Think what you want about Bell, but he is a fantastic pass-catching back to be sure.  In his season with Pittsburgh from 2014-17, he averaged 46 yards per game on 6.8 targets. Sure, those days of a heavy workload in the air have left him behind, but he still does his part out of the backfield and this is a perfect matchup for him to show us what kind of hands he still has.

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The Bengals currently rank near dead last at 30th in the league when it comes to pass defense against opposing running backs.

There has been some concern about Bell’s up and down usage since coming over to the Jets, but I think his fortunes are about to turn around in that department, which is why we’re picking NFL week 13 to put him on our props bets.  See, the Jets have really been turning things around over the last three weeks on both offense and defense.

Last week against the Raiders finally saw Bell get more involved than he has been in previous games this year. He saw five targets, reeling in all five, and running for 59 yards for an average of over 11 yards per reception. It was his fourth game of the year to go over 45 yards receiving and second in his last four weeks.

As far as the 33.5 yards mark set for this weekend, Bell has done better than that many times this year against tougher defenses.  In 11 games this year, Bell has failed to reach the 34-yard mark just five times with three of those games falling short by 2 yards or less.


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Getting back to last week, there was a number of signs which give me hope for his yards in the air vs the Bengals.  First off, Adam Gase lined Bell up in the slot on the first play of the game and QB Sam Darnold hit him with a dart for a 23-yard gain within the first couple of seconds into the game.  He also got 11 touches on the ground over the Jet’s first 18 plays of the game.

This tells me that the Jets are working hard to see Bell have a breakout game in green.  He finished with 59 yards receiving in that game and I expect his role to expand even more against the Bengals at home. I chalk his midseason struggles up to his knee and rib injuries earlier in the season.

Either one of these can neuter a running back and with both at the same time, it’s no wonder he saw his fair share of issues in October.  I think this is the week the Jets and Bell pull it together and both see big days against the floundering Bengals.

That’s all for our props bets for Week 13 of the NFL, see you back at Sports Intel soon.

Matt De Saro is a journalist and media personality specializing in sport, specifically sports betting. He has hosted podcasts and web shows since 2014 which aim to educate and inform sports bettors worldwide. Matt has created content, both written & media, for the likes of Fansided, Forbes, Sportsbook Review & YouWager. With a background in statistical analysis and a love of everything sports, he takes an outside the box approach to reporting on the sports betting industry.

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