Now that most of the big free agents have changed teams and the NFL Draft is over, we have a pretty good idea of what rosters are going to look like. After taking into account rosters, SOS, point differential, injuries, new QBs and coaches, I have a better feel for the AFC North over under bets that I like and don’t like for the upcoming season.
Of course now that the draft is over, oddsmakers have also done the same, and adjusted some of their season totals NFL odds. Here are the most updated totals, but make sure you shop around:
2020 NFL Win Totals
Baltimore Ravens: 11.5
Kansas City Chiefs: 11.5
New Orleans Saints: 10.5
San Francisco 49ers: 10.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers: 10
Dallas Cowboys: 9.5
Philadelphia Eagles: 9.5
Seattle Seahawks: 9.5
Buffalo Bills: 9
Green Bay Packers: 9
Indianapolis Colts: 9
New England Patriots: 9
Pittsburgh Steelers: 9
Chicago Bears: 8.5
Cleveland Browns: 8.5
Los Angeles Rams: 8.5
Minnesota Vikings: 8.5
Tennessee Titans: 8.5
Houston Texans: 8
Atlanta Falcons: 7.5
Denver Broncos: 7.5
Las Vegas Raiders: 7.5
Los Angeles Chargers: 7.5
Arizona Cardinals: 7
Detroit Lions: 6.5
New York Giants: 6.5
New York Jets: 6.5
Miami Dolphins: 6
Carolina Panthers: 5.5
Cincinnati Bengals: 5.5
Jacksonville Jaguars: 5
Washington Redskins: 5
Buckle up, because I am going to start giving you my division by division breakdown on how I see these totals playing out this season. Up today, the AFC North over under betting for 2020.
AFC North Over Under Bets
Baltimore Ravens over/ under 11.5 wins
What can we say, there is a reason they always say the rich get richer. That is exactly what happened in the draft for the Ravens, as they picked up some immediate contributors. They also traded for one of the best defenders in the game, Calais Campbell. Between free agency, trades and the draft, this beast of a Ravens team somehow got better.
Their schedule is also not as bad as I thought it was going to be. The only way I see this team slowing down is if injuries hit them hard. As long as Lamar Jackson can stay healthy, Baltimore should be one of the favorites to win the Super Bowl this upcoming season.
But, when it comes to betting, 12 wins is still a lot and a little too inflated for me. This number is sharp as I have them winning 11 to 12 games. I will sit this one out.
Pittsburgh Steelers under 9 wins
Is Big Ben going to comeback healthy and more importantly, be the same QB he was? If you have seen the same offseason pictures of Ben Roethlisberger that I have, you might be leaning towards answering no. Even if he does get in shape, there is no guarantee the Steelers QB can return to form after suffering that season ending elbow injury.
Also, their free agent pickups and draft just doesn’t move the needle for me. They also face the Bills, Colts and Browns in three of their last four games. This number is pretty sharp, but I’ll take the under here.
I think worst case scenario, we push on the number.
Cleveland Browns over 8.5 wins
The Browns addressed their head coach position, and that alone should be good for a win or two next season. I also love what they did in the draft and via free agency by signing Austin Hooper and Jack Conklin. While Cleveland has a ton of talent on the offensive side of the football, building their oline and dline was still a need.
After addressing those areas, I like them to reach at least 9 wins this upcoming season. They also have a Charmin soft schedule, as they finish with the Giants, Jets and Steelers. If they can take care of business during that stretch, they should be able to hit this over.
Cincinnati Bengals under 5.5 wins
The Bengals drafted Heisman winner Joe Burrow, but this rebuild is going to take some time to get rolling. While I like Burrow and some of the pieces they drafted, I think Cincy overspent on fringe players during free agency.
There is a reason the Bengals haven’t finished with a winning record since 2015. In my opinion, they failed to pick up guys that can move the needle and need a ton more talent before they can contend for the division again.
While they have a soft schedule of sorts, their last four games of the season are tough. I have them going 0-4 during that stretch, so I’ll take the under.
So, that’s it for our picks and parlays for the AFC North over under bets for the coming season. Good luck everyone.