Week 3 of the NFL Season culminates tonight with the Chiefs vs Ravens and Matt has a few props from DraftKings. The Ravens offense is full of betting value as always so lets dive right in.
Lamar Jackson OVER 249.5 Passing Yards (-106) & 60.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
This game is expected to be a slobber knocker and that means Jackson is going to need to make things happen through the air if the Ravens hope to keep pace. I have faith this will be no problem Jackson when you look at his performance so far in 2020.
His 479 yards passing might not be awe-inspiring, but has yet to throw an interception and his QBR is 4th best in the NFL right now.
Jackson went for 275 against the Browns week one and I think a similar outcome can be expected tonight against KC’s shoddy linebackers and their lack of pass defense.
As far as the rushing prop on Jackson, I think he is due for a breakout day on the ground. And what to so against the defending champs?
The Chiefs did a good job last season against Jackson, limiting him to just 46 yards on eight carries. They kept Jackson in check at the expense of allowing the Ravens backs more time and space. It’s a tactic I expect them to employ again tonight.
Thing is, I don’t see it working as well this time around.
Jackson has yet to really explode on the ground and this is a great game for a big statement. Also, he really gets up for prime time games, totaling 424 yards in four night-games.
I don’t hate his prop to score a rushing TD either considering his nose for the end-zone and that the Chiefs have given up rushing touchdowns to each QB in their first two games.
Marquise Brown OVER 51.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
As mentioned above, Jackson will need to sling the ball tonight to keep in this game. Expect Brown, Baltimore’s most explosive receiver, to reap the benefits of such a gameplan.
Playing at full health, Hollywood has entrenched himself os Jackson’s favorite option downfield in this early going and the Oklahoma product hasn’t disappointed.
He opened the season with a 100+ yard game against the Browns and followed it up with a decent night with 42 yards on the Texans.
I expect tonight a game somewhere in the middle, which will put him well over the 51.5-yard mark currently offered.
The Ravens offense has enjoyed a pair of easy matchups to open the year and tonight will be the perfect opportunity to let loose and show what this offense can really do.
Brown has seen 25% of Jacksons’ targets through the first two games, and with the team expected to put up 24.5 points, will have a lot more opportunities in this one.
I see the Ravens debuting a number of designed plays to get Brown some big yardage and am putting my money where my mouth is on him and Jackson tonight.