Week 3 of the NFL season kicks off tonight with an interstate battle between the Jacksonville Jaguars and Miami Dolphins. Here are a few player props from DraftKings for the Jaguars on Thursday Night Football:
Jaguars RB James Robinson OVER 17.5 rushing attempts (-112) & OVER 74.5 (-112)
Robinson has quickly gone from an undrafted RB out of Illinois State to the Jaguars starter to even holding fantasy relevance in deeper leagues.
The young rusher is currently the fourth-ranked in the NFL with 164 yards on the ground in his first two games on 32 combined attempts.
In fact, Robinson has accounted for ALL but two carries on the Jaguars in 2020.
This week brings a plus matchup to this breakout star with the Miami Dolphins cruising into town.
The Dolphins have thus far surrendered 328 to opposing backs in the opening two weeks which is fourth-worst in the league.
I expect the Jags to lean heavily on their young back and for Robinson to get a few extra carries to take him over the 17.5 plateau. Additionally, the extra carries should push him over the 74.5 total yard mark for the second time this year.
Laviska Shenault Jr. (JAX) Anytime TD Scorer (+190)
Shenault is the Jaguars’ jack of all trades who has totaled 13 carries and eight targets so far in two games.
He’s amassed 72 yards on the ground and 47 in the air and one TD which is impressive considering his workload.
DJ Chark is a game-time decision and will be limited tonight at the very least. This will open the door for Shenault’s role to expand if at least for this game.
Taking into account his unique skill set, athleticism, and size, he makes for an attractive goal-line weapon which I am hoping Minshew utilizes here.
This game is expected to be one of the higher scoring events in week 3 and I’m betting that Shernault contributes to that with a TD.
Gardner Minshew (JAX) OVER 18.5 Rushing Yards (-112)
Many are expecting Minshew to have a big day against a suspect Miami defense but I have my doubts.
Consider the big win Jacksonville had over the Colts to open the season. Minshew tossed just a single incomplete pass, but he also accrued just 173 yards passing.
What this tells me is that Jacksonville doesn’t need big numbers from their QB to beat lower-tier teams. They just have to limit any mistakes he might make.
As I stated above, I think the Jags rely heavily on their running game tonight and I believe that will include a little magic from under center.
I’m not suggesting that Mishnew will go all LaMarr Jackson on us, but 19 yards isn’t a whole lot to ask for in this matchup. Especially considering he has run for 19 yards in both of his first two games of the season and the Dolphins D is the worst he’s seen yet.