Welcome to our new column where we review the previous NFL week and look at the odds and some games for the upcoming weekend.
So, after five weeks of football, here is the skinny: Favorites are 37-39 ATS while Overs are 41-34-1
When it comes to bad beats, you have to feel for Eagles backers. The line closed around 7 at most books. Philadelphia went neck to neck with Pittsburgh and were down by only 2 until 3 minutes left in the 4th quarter. Then the Eagles missed a FG and Big Ben hit Chase Claypool for a bomb to put the Steelers up by 9. Welcome to bad beat city.
The other bets I’d throw in there is if you had the Chargers or Vikings moneyline. Both teams were up big and blew leads to get beat at the end. The ebbs and flows of betting on football, right?
A couple of quick things that stuck out to me otherwise:
- The Bears bounced back with a big win against the Bucs on Thursday Night Football. Their defense came to play like usual, but it was nice to see their offense come through when they needed it the most. Get ready for a slug-fest this weekend against Carolina.
- MVP Watch still has Russell Wilson in first after yet another heroic comeback against the Vikings. Right now, I still have RW, Rodgers, Josh Allen, Patrick Mahomes and Aaron Donald as my top five. Myles Garrett just misses the cut, but he is someone else to keep an eye on. We will keep an eye on it weekly.
- The Cleveland Browns are back. That might be the biggest Browns win I’ve seen in years. Now comes the real test, the Steelers. If they can win at a place they’ve been dominated at for years, lookout.
- Is Dallas in trouble? We all saw Dak Prescott’s brutal injury, so here’s hoping that he comes back 100% next season. But, when it comes to the Cowboys, is their season over? For what it’s worth, Andy Dalton came in and did his job, leading Dallas to a win. The NFC East is so bad that even a losing record might get a team into the playoffs this season. Can Dalton lead them there?
- Were the Chiefs looking ahead a little bit? They have a huge matchup against the Bills coming up, so I will give them a pass. But, the offense does seem a little less explosive this season and it showed against the Raiders. I am really interested in watching how they do against a really good Buffalo defense.
- Excited for Packers-Bucs this weekend. Green Bay has come out on fire this year, but this is a tough spot for them.
Now, a look at Week 6. First, here are the odds via the SuperBook:
Car -3 vs Chi
Det -3 at Jax
Min -3.5 vs Atl
Ten vs Hou (NL)
NYG -3.5 vs Wsh
Pit -4.5 vs Cle
Bal -7 at Phi
Ind -9.5 vs Cin
GB -1.5 at TB
LAR -3 at SF
Mia -8 vs NYJ
NE -9.5 vs Den
Ari -3 at Dal
KC -3 EV at Buf
A couple of games stick out right away.
- I’m looking at the Bears going to Carolina this weekend. The Bears have been getting no respect so far this season, and that is the case again in this spot. The Bears defense is for real, which is why I lean them in this spot getting 3.
- I’m going to keep fading the Jets, so I like Miami in this matchup. I know it is a let down spot, but I got to stick with this autofade.
- Lastly, I’m looking at TB +3 at home. They’ve had a long rest since they played Thursday Night. Tom Brady off of a loss is usually pretty money. They will also get Chris Godwin back and Mike Evans should be healthy due to the rest.
Make sure you guys check back later this week for my final picks. Thanks for reading this week’s column, and let’s win some money in Week 6.