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NCAA Football Week 4 Expert Picks

NCAA Football Week 4 Expert Picks

The College football season is in full (almost) after a slow start and we’ve got your best bets for the weekend ahead.

Florida Gators (-14.5) vs Ole Miss Rebels

The Gators and Rebels kick off SEC play on Saturday in what is expected to be a runaway win from the Rebels.

Lane Kiffin and Jeff Lebby are looking to shape up an offense who was 14th in the run last year.


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The Rebels will be playing a super fast-paced offense which will be focused on the air attack which could surprise the Gator defense.

Florida’s secondary ranked 36th in the nation last year in passing yards allowed and should be a tough matchup with three safeties returning.

Marco Wilson and Kair Elam might be the best one-two combo at cornerback the SEC will see this year and are a major reason that Floria is a two-touchdown favorite this weekend.

Florida’s secondary is an important factor considering that Ole Miss will likely be leaning hard on wideout Elijah Moore.

Moore led the team last year with 67 receptions and 850 receiving yards. Not a single teammate had more than 200 receiving yards and the entire rest of the team combined for 55 catches.


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What this tells me is that the Gators only need to shut down one single receiver and have a pair of studs in the secondary to do so.

Based on this, I will be taking the underdog here and looking for the Rebels to keep it within two TD’s in their opening game.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Auburn Tigers (-7.5)

Auburn enters this game with a lot of new parts on the offense.  Specifically, new OC Char Morris.  This type of shift requires a lot of time to adjust and I worry that the COVID shortened training camp will be an issue for the Tigers week 1.

One thing that the Tigers should do well right out of the gate is run the ball.


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They will need to stand tall in the ground game if they hope to cover this spread and I think they falter a bit.

JaTarviuous Whitlow, the Tigers lead back last year, has left the team and along with it a hole at RB.   While there are plenty of guys ready to fill Whitlow’s spot, it remains to be seen if any have the capabilities to do so.

Combine this with poor shoddy run blocking and a play on the underdog starts to take shape.

I think that the UK secondary is of a higher caliber than the Tigers receiving core and should have a little issue keeping this game close.

Based on this mismatch, I will be all over the Wildcats +7.5 this weekend to cover, and maybe beat, the Auburn Tigers.

Matt De Saro is a journalist and media personality specializing in sport, specifically sports betting. He has hosted podcasts and web shows since 2014 which aim to educate and inform sports bettors worldwide. Matt has created content, both written & media, for the likes of Fansided, Forbes, Sportsbook Review & YouWager. With a background in statistical analysis and a love of everything sports, he takes an outside the box approach to reporting on the sports betting industry.

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